Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.015114 0.017589 0.020322 0.023564 0.027300 0.031469 0.036472
2025-12-21 0.011205 0.014338 0.018119 0.023011 0.029160 0.036625 0.046368
2025-12-28 0.009272 0.012875 0.017567 0.024103 0.032950 0.044480 0.060623
2026-01-04 0.007707 0.011506 0.016797 0.024664 0.036020 0.051763 0.075188
2026-01-11 0.006192 0.009875 0.015326 0.023922 0.037070 0.056332 0.086587
2026-01-18 0.005165 0.008745 0.014344 0.023656 0.038655 0.061742 0.099797
2026-01-25 0.004290 0.007678 0.013255 0.022996 0.039454 0.065956 0.111608
2026-02-01 0.003632 0.006846 0.012394 0.022533 0.040434 0.070479 0.124365
2026-02-08 0.003137 0.006206 0.011743 0.022298 0.041710 0.075565 0.138580
2026-02-15 0.002681 0.005556 0.010965 0.021702 0.042225 0.079341 0.150895
2026-02-22 0.002479 0.005359 0.010991 0.022582 0.045529 0.088406 0.173713
2026-03-01 0.002203 0.004965 0.010572 0.022534 0.047038 0.094306 0.191280
2026-03-08 0.001887 0.004439 0.009827 0.021750 0.047045 0.097455 0.204163
2026-03-15 0.001666 0.004083 0.009378 0.021514 0.048133 0.102841 0.222131
2026-03-22 0.001583 0.004029 0.009573 0.022689 0.052339 0.115004 0.255346
2026-03-29 0.001467 0.003875 0.009518 0.023298 0.055391 0.125110 0.285407
2026-04-05 0.001282 0.003519 0.008947 0.022635 0.055504 0.128943 0.302374
2026-04-12 0.001147 0.003267 0.008582 0.022403 0.056569 0.134965 0.324856
2026-04-19 0.001008 0.002980 0.008089 0.021787 0.056635 0.138727 0.342611
2026-04-26 0.000897 0.002746 0.007693 0.021353 0.057080 0.143402 0.363000
2026-05-03 0.000808 0.002562 0.007396 0.021133 0.058027 0.149353 0.387077
2026-05-10 0.000716 0.002349 0.006993 0.020568 0.058006 0.152944 0.405780
2026-05-17 0.000686 0.002320 0.007095 0.021405 0.061805 0.166446 0.450765